Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Rye’s My Guy |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Marshall |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speedy Pal |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m a Bourbon Girl |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rye’s My Guy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Speedeeman |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ry Pie |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cadfael |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Border Town |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Souper Success |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bold Reload |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Air Combat |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heat Merchant |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kinetic Stone |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Garofoli |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Pleasure’s Gold |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Metaphysical |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happy Valentine |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cara Cara |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coffee Crisp |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Leziate |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cup of Kindness |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Snatched |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Saratoga Holiday |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Salmiakki |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Sunset |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
She’s So Croatian |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mojo Rising |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tallawah |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cheat the Devil |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dolce Fortuna |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rhaenyra |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Talbot Heirloom |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chervonaruta |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wild Red |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Call Me Kaykay |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anela Kai |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Buff Bay |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Silent Sunshine |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kozy Babe |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sultry Sophie |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bella Gusto |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Motown Funk |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maryland Spirit |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crystal Water |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
One More Doll |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Serious Green |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Takemybourbonneat |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Katherine’s Cub |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Dancin Mary Marie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Dreaming of Hope |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Make No Mistake |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blazing Sky |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Moonshine |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arriviste |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gizmo’s B F F |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Galley Head |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Delphia |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liam’s Awesome |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dreaming of Hope |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
I’m Into Mischief |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Olympic Fencer |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mrs. C |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bedazzle Me |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prima |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Golden Boss |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Duval Street |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kikitsa |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Speedy Freeze |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (La Prevoyante S.) – La Prevoyante S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Talk to Ya Later |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fashionably Fab |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fortyfiveseventy |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tito’s Calling |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hurricane Clair |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
War Painter |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Chromeplated Heart |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ol’ Blondie |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Give Me the Boots |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Veri Gizmo |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anam Cara |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Two Sip Sally |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jimmy’s Affair |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spirit Bear |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Silent and Sinful |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lillz Star |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sensational Sarah |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Silent Diva |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sloans Sky |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
D’s Kandy |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arrakasta Istoria |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Noyzee Girl |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Empire’s Treat |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Powaqa |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Madam Gwen |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.