Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spinning Heart | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricolour | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double Your Money | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zihuatanejo | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheer Dominance | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Earl of Dassel | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Exclusive Dancer | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watch Hill | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Missouri River | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pontiac | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boys of Summer | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Haleigh B | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pontiffany | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wishing Ona Prayer | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everlys Girl | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mended We Stand | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parisian Vibe | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leviosa | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loveumom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Candy | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burner Account | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exhale | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vicki Vale | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alyvia’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eleanor Rigby | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Doom | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Be There | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give It a Go | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Moore | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Long Gray Line | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Runner | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Marco | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jake Brake Alley | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Brother | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nuedorf | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Factor U and Me In | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome for Sure | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grahmalamadingdong | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badlands Ruler | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Track of My Tears | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Pity | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rumaway | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Estilo Unico | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Loves Louie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Cloud | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Demolition Woman | 4.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kaya Star | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Jane | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetheart Moon | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sister Mary Lou | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justcallmetwoshoes | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charlotte’s Potter | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariah Kathryn | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First State | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Birthday Bond Rob | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Z’s So Good | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Four Eyes | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Will’s Music | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strasse | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | El de Leo | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remarkable Mo | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Checking Boxes | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Girl | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | O’Brien | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jiggery Pokery | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Travel Guide | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Tiger | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Devolution | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spotted Bull | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Minxzhippsdontleye | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Star Weaver | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ahsad | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire’s Score | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miracle Trip | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skyhook | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Pressing Concern | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shanghai Warrior | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Gotham | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | R Tenderoni | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Rainbow Trout | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonita Lassie | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Connelmaura | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Tourista | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Our Little Tiger | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Obstinate | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | My Boss Lady | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Anna Rocks | 10.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Maria | 10.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cup of Life | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Alex | 10.00 | 15.6 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lois | 15.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collective Gold | 15.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Loyalty | 20.00 | 15.9 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ritaan | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Steady Progress | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Renegade Serenade | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fenwick Jack | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey River | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darvesh | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Clancy O’Toole | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imaginized | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ascribe | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | McMagic | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Khopesh | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fast Payday | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Eyes Eleven | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey What’s Up | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Not a Baby | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Alex | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.