Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 26, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Marys Wine 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Elodine 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Flight On Race Day 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lynna 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Oh I Giggle 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Never Walk Alone 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Mrs Zepeda 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 C C Senora 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Radiant Rebel 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Sister Ella 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Lulu’s Magic 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Broadway Star 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Country Angel 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Saucy Gem 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 My Royal Princess 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Call Me Fast 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Wonderful Justice (GB) 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 What Say Thee 1.80 1.7 3-1
3 3 Create Trouble 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Out of Deductions 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Masqueparade 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Highestdistinction 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Ocean City 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Liberal Arts 3.00 4.2 8-1
Call Me Fast 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Onasa 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Chi Town Hustler 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Julia’s Warrior 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Johnny Up 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 We Miss Arlington 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Paddy’s House 3.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Reckless Ransom 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Oncoming Train 6.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Colonel Barton 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turk and Wendy 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 States’ Rights 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Executor 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Curahee 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Faber 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Lucky Mischief 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Boss of All Bosses 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Flying Mohawk 3.50 5.2 10-1
10 10 Stranger’s Church 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Without Caution 6.00 7 13-1
Stranger’s Church 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flat Out Runner 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Whole Lotta Lute 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Tanmancan 2.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 Malibu Brad 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Itzcoatl 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 All About Tonite 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Come On Come On 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Whiskey and Easy 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Manny’s Kat 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Smokey Mandate 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Towering Storm 8.00 2.3 4-1
15 15 General Mathis 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Rock’n a Halo 8.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Relampago Verde 5.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Gray’s Fable 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 No White Flags 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Scat Free 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Desert Duke 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Berrettini 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Agent Creed 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Eff Thirty Five 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Alex Joon 15.00 8.9 17-1
14 14 Unified Dreams 15.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Uxmal 20.00 10.7 20-1
General Mathis 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fanatical 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Its Paladin Time 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Chases Magic 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Thermoscat 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Prime Power 4.00 7 13-1
7 7 Rachael’s Wagon 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Gunmetal 4.50 7.7 15-1
8 8 Hwy Twenty Ride 8.00 9 17-1
4 4 Magical Wish 10.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Arkansauce 20.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Shadow Coast 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.) – Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oeuvre 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Speedy Traveler 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Cupids Crush 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Runninwiththeboyz 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Off Ramp 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 All I Want Is You 4.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Harbor Springs 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Accomplished Girl 3.50 6.6 13-1
3 3 Riley Jean 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Repasado 15.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Cecile 12.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Berlaine 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.) – Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hoosier Philly 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Nom de Plume 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Bru Na Boinne 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tryinmyheartout 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Low Country Magic 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lexa 4.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Bow Draw 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Champagne Rose (BRZ) 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Seraphia 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Chapel Street 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Black Dog 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Spun Up 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Dreaming of Lilies 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Pretty Sassy 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Heart’s Compass 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Massarat 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Gowells Delight 8.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Vino Bella 20.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Something Stronger 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.