Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Marys Wine |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Elodine |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flight On Race Day |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lynna |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Oh I Giggle |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Never Walk Alone |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mrs Zepeda |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
C C Senora |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Radiant Rebel |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sister Ella |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lulu’s Magic |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broadway Star |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Country Angel |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saucy Gem |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Royal Princess |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Call Me Fast |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wonderful Justice (GB) |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
What Say Thee |
1.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Create Trouble |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Out of Deductions |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Masqueparade |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Highestdistinction |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ocean City |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Liberal Arts |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
|
Call Me Fast |
|
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Onasa |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chi Town Hustler |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Julia’s Warrior |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Johnny Up |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
We Miss Arlington |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Paddy’s House |
3.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reckless Ransom |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Oncoming Train |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Colonel Barton |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Turk and Wendy |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
States’ Rights |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Executor |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Curahee |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Faber |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lucky Mischief |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boss of All Bosses |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flying Mohawk |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stranger’s Church |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Without Caution |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
|
Stranger’s Church |
|
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Flat Out Runner |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whole Lotta Lute |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tanmancan |
2.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Malibu Brad |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Itzcoatl |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
All About Tonite |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Come On Come On |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whiskey and Easy |
10.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Manny’s Kat |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Smokey Mandate |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Towering Storm |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
15 |
15 |
General Mathis |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rock’n a Halo |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Relampago Verde |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gray’s Fable |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
No White Flags |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scat Free |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Desert Duke |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Berrettini |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Agent Creed |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eff Thirty Five |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alex Joon |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Unified Dreams |
15.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Uxmal |
20.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
|
General Mathis |
|
16 |
30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Fanatical |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Its Paladin Time |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chases Magic |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thermoscat |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Prime Power |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rachael’s Wagon |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gunmetal |
4.50 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hwy Twenty Ride |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magical Wish |
10.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arkansauce |
20.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Shadow Coast |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.) – Nelson J. Menard Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Oeuvre |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Speedy Traveler |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cupids Crush |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Runninwiththeboyz |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Off Ramp |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
All I Want Is You |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Harbor Springs |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Accomplished Girl |
3.50 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Riley Jean |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Repasado |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Cecile |
12.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Berlaine |
50.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.) – Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hoosier Philly |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nom de Plume |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bru Na Boinne |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tryinmyheartout |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Low Country Magic |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lexa |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bow Draw |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Champagne Rose (BRZ) |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Seraphia |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chapel Street |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Black Dog |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spun Up |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dreaming of Lilies |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pretty Sassy |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heart’s Compass |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Massarat |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gowells Delight |
8.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Vino Bella |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Something Stronger |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.