Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Into It |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
News At Ten (GB) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Western Avenue |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Oscar Joy |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Into It |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Noble Reflection |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mas Rapido (GB) |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Habeas |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dancing Rinca |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
13 |
13 |
Player B |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
American Glory (GB) |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Count of Amazonia (IRE) |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baladi |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Money Makes Money |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Commander (FR) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Father Ted |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jumper Cables |
30.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Madaket Road |
0.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Targaryis |
15.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kokosan |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elusive Moon |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
San Saba |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lee’s Baby Girl |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Slick (IRE) |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Makenarita |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Preem |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Isntsheloverly |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Whirlwind |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Aggro |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Leap |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stormy Paradise |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Beehavin |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Calmate |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Rice Paddy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Paarl |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lila |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Berry Valley |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nene Diamond |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stop Digging |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Barbera |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Pop |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Maryann |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tizzy Twister |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dendera |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dorie Miller |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Idessia |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
11 |
Moment’s Pleasure |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Word Play (GB) |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shocking Grey |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Claypoole (IRE) |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
September Magic |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiaraqueen (GB) |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Control Function |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Idessia |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Free and Humble |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kahuraru (FR) |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Real Fire |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Catalina Cocktail |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Sareeha (IRE) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Laffit Pincay, Jr. S.) – Laffit Pincay, Jr. S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Lammas (GB) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Katonah |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ashcroft |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tarantino |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
J B Strikes Back |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Express Train |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Goldeneye |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
American Admiral |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (San Gabriel S.) – San Gabriel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Dicey Mo Chara (GB) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Johannes |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seal Team (GB) |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Easter (FR) |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Astronomer |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mi Hermano Ramon |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cabo Spirit |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Escape Artist |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nineeleventurbo |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dicey Mo Chara (GB) |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Malibu S.) – Malibu S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Stronghold |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pilot Commander |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Raging Torrent |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stronghold |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imagination |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mystik Dan |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Winterfell |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Senior Officer |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bentornato |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mathis Mile S.) – Mathis Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
King of Gosford (GB) |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stay Hot |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heart Headed |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Atitlan |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cathal (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lord Bullingdon |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Call Sign Seven |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Curlin’s Kaos |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Siennois (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (La Brea S. Presented By Don Julio) – La Brea S. Presented By Don Julio
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
One Magic Philly |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hope Road |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Accuracy |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Splendora |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sandy Bottom |
20.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kinza |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sugar Fish |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kopion |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tamara |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ultimate Authority |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Cavalieri |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (American Oaks) – American Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
She Feels Pretty |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
She Feels Pretty |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kathynmarissa |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Medoro |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chatalas |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mizzyaan |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
13 |
13 |
Rashmi |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Watchtower |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Strutting (GB) |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vibez |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Baltic Fire |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Valence |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sakura Blossom |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Omaha Girl |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.