Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sumitup 0 0-1
Stormy Valentine 0 0-1
4 4 Drop Dead Sexy 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Alexaplayborntorun 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Track Smart 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sumitup 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ours and Theirs 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Stormy Valentine 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Follow the Saint 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tribest (ARG) 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Flight Control 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 She’s Inthearmynow 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Trouble Free 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Sister Saint 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lofty Heights 3.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Gogo Bobbyjo 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Birdie Call 8.00 1 2-1
13 13 Saved by Grace 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ground Control 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Back Street Baby 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Hopeitsmyluckyday 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 In B. J.’s Honor 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Sky High Susan 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ms. Cajun Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kathlyns Phalanx 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Deroutante 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Daddy Hey Daddy 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Grace Hazel 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jus Press Star 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Country Lady 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 War Tourist 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kenmore West 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Blame Me Seriously 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Regatta Bay 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Toni’s Inferno 4.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Aries Honor 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Southscape 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Red Road 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Carthage Cajun 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Transactional (GB) 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Cat On Time 4.50 5 10-1
9 9 Maasai Warrior 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 I’m Your Man 15.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Impeccability 10.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Caroom 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 El Perfecto 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Count Dracula 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Paddock Pastor 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Righthere Rightnow 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Triple Trea 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Air Cav 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Candy Corn 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Great Runner 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Beautiful Life 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Backfire 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Love a Fighter 30.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 One Sharp Tiz 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Storm Ready 1.40 1 2-1
9 9 Finn McSorley 8.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Jungle Law 12.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 King Rosso 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hard Par 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Touch Of Glam (ARG) 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 English Chunnel 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Seaville 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Initialize 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Joey’s Game 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Seehoss 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Gallant Star 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 J B Gray 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gypsy’s Soulmate 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Mind On My Money 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Juju Nineteen 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Swift N Traffic 8.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Chief Kimosabi 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.