Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thestral | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Gal | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Bell | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Sense | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Idol | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miesha | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sistersouttachrome | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Commander | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shamayim | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Pharoah | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Cats | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lions Not Sheep | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pittsburgh | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Heavenly Gift | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Is My Boy | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Contrabandista | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Hero | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coach Sam P | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bradford | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Preacher’s Kid | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Willie Cat | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Safety | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Statler | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yeagers Strategy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | It’s a Rainy Day | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Enigma Code | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red River | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angelsnbutterflies | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sip Slowly | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crue’s N Control | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rerun | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wartime Hero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cost Basis | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrogates Spirit | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Tradition | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desoto’s War | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euclid Avenue | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Nation | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colosi | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Baron | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booth | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Booth | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glengarry | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Henro | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | This Is Uscar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Save the Trees | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Molly’s Town | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proprietary Trade | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Time for Truth | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Dawn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Disco Ball | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Tower | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breslau | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Back Jack | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spankster | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mid Day Image | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stage Left | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Therideofalifetime | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Wide Awake | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spycraft | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ian Glass | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blow Torch | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Diablo Rojo | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Swede | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ram | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Born Flawless | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Palace Kitten | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Atomic Tone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Warp Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Boogie Woogie Gal | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inventing Anna | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Knockout | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Pay No Hay | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Last Gasp | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Medicine Show | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saburo’s Vow | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fine by Design | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sending | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Raven | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coldasice | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collada | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Daretocatchlove | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lemonesse | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Claret Beret | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Undercover | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Titled Lady | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen’s Martini | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Managing Mischief | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stone Cold Lover | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Lunar | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Key to Success | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Edistrudis | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wise Miss | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Keepsake | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | First Hill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gloriette | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Queen Mallard | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aloha Baby | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aurora Gee | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Julia | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Actin’ Up | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Spirit | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Sequoia | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gently | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rosie Cotton | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | L. A. Diamond | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paris Accord | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiamichi | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Palmilla’s Bet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Doubledaddy Issues | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.