Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin’s Wharf | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Atlal | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Cook | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nod to Tran | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snare | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Griffin’s Wharf | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hope’s Alive | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Steel Vengeance | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Henry’s Hope | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grey Ace | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Boy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saint Gaudens | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noonzio | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tomacon | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock the Weekend | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Toby | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Concorde Spirit | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Central | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Iron Man Ira | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Gravesend S.) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Top Gunner | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Meridius | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Moon Madness | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runninsonofagun | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tivy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twenty Four Mamba | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toxic Gray | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Swing | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Ride Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | York Tavern | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conniving | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raleigh St. Clair | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masterwork | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Irie Man | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Violent Swing | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Don’t Stop | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skellig Island | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Arc | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Eyed Scout | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forever to Go | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Mischief | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Lulu | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leonora’s Secret | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hattie Carroll | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Three Nines Fine | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Naive Melody | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss American Pie | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mommy’s Turn | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Party At the Post | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trulli Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Deflection Point | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Liberte de Bayeux | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinsanity | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Confabulation | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sorority Prank | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ministerial | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Walt | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strapped | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J D Factor | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Best Bet | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Houlton | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Melt With You | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Register | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Locke and Key | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trust Issues | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antonio of Venice | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Mile | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peek | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Skylander | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vettriano | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paxsational | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forrest City | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stjames | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Certified Loverboy | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ari’s Magic | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Alex M. Robb S.) – Alex M. Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Grande O | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bank Frenzy | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doc Sullivan | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olympic Dreams | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheriff Bianco | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whittington Park | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colloquy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Neural Network | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Vision | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monomoy Beach | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Romeo Void | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King’s Spirit | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cada Dia Mejor | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Vamonos Vamonos | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Resistance Futile | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bookitwithhaddad | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocked Out | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marvelous Richard | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danziger | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classic Ruby | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | White Blue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | Tino in Toga | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | M G Dash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.