Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Valtesse | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eurostorm | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marina | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Hopper | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Debbies Passage | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Natalie Run | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Czar’s Ballerina | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lord Harmony | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sthepanie Princess | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rusty’s Sunrise | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uno Pea | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That Is Awesome | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Come What Mae | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Vision | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northernreflection | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magawildtime | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unanimously | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joey’s Lightening | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Wishing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tresillian | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Devils Road | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feather Laine | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Wallbanger | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palmetto Star | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Storm | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Up the Pace | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Calibrachoamatters | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz of Thee | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wishert | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai’s Grandson | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bobby Boy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Lover | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arkansas Zong | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Beaux | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dustin the Diamond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Reg | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Gold Pieces | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Castille | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baron of the Nile | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Idol | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inchhighatahundred | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Riverwalk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gracious Kat | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minor Discrepancy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cadillac Cowboy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One More Sleep | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Zong | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rite On Sam | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Chico | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joseph H | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Boy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Castle | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Axel Steel | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Cool | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Edge Sword | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absaroka | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassi D | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Candy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Scampering Ma’am | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Legal Deceiver | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Feature | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Round in Circles | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s the Sheriff | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Breakup | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roses n’ Chrome | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Lombriz | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Over Stormy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inez | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.