Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds Joy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dessert First | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prize Debate | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble With Sugar | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Requestforproposal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salomeinthehoop | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawfish Burl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Gloryland | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Gem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gloryland | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Carla | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crawfish Burl | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fret No More | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wickedrevolution | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Viv Loves Lucy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Value | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marlin Darlin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | War Siren (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Churning Berni | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Win for Speight | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Absalooka (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rock Harbor | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hope Mission | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pioneer Mission | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Time Stone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lady of Power | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Machiva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sands of War | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Quality (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Water Tester | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rayden and Remi | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mardi Gras Mambo | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scootin’ Boots | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Bourbon | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Face | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last Resolve | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rexinator | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Liam | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Randy Daytona | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candy Bar | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sally O’Malley | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cairo Dream | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Lucy Got Game | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Evita | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starina | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Notable Queen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Just the Sky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Urban Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sugar Bee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tuck Check | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ragtime Lady | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Waves | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | For Love and Honor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Venomous Vixen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | La Foret | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clear as a Bele | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Like This | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Young Tuscan | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boo | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spinning Aces | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lauri’s Wish | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sono | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Craken Jax | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sonofaship | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Pago Hop S.) – Pago Hop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gavea (GER) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buchu | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way to Be Marie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Past Tense | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doesn’thurttoflirt | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Bout Hilary | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fantastical | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Austere | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stylish Sue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pisciotta (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stipulate | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Liberty | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casilda | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gloryibee | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost and Found | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Belle | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ruby’s Ghost | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lumina | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Especially | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Don’t Blink | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reading Time | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Awe of Juju | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Woodchopper S.) – Woodchopper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Higgins Boat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lagynos | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Record Time | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Little Nut | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mc Vay | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Time Song | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Realignment | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camaro Z | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Le Gris | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kennel Club | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Lambeth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Oscar Season | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fortune Seller | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rock’n a Halo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Take Me To Church (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Evade (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cool Quartet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Trick | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischief’s Machine | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Niles Channel | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Design | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He Gots to Go | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Cost | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shortlist | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Peerless | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fabled Ruler | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Max Pandowdy | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chaosmos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | El Oriente (CHI) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.