Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | On a Spree | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eternally Grateful | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truculent | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s Something | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Granada Flavor | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bright Spark | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inca Empire | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | El Cerrito | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Strike Ridge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Commander | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Strategy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Prince | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chez Whiz | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ryno Wrecker | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Cinema | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Peel | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Cougar | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Moonshine | 50.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Partyinthestreets | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lord Diamond | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Will | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Texoma | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phenomenal Dream | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | String Theory | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Non Fungible | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Safe Bet | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rerun | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Kween’s King | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Low On Funds | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Westeros | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Seeking the Game | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Butch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Dollar Eddie | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devils Fork | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Burlsworth | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ranch Hand | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | God’s Country | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizmarkus | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paramount Paycheck | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mandatory Mission | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gilded Craken | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Leaf | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mandolin Wind | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximus Magic | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucency | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Huge Bigly | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Channel | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Action | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Welaka | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Thunderer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miracle On Central | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mintastic | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zoom | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Ride | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Momissioner | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bermuda Blitz | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Waco | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chasin’ Chaffin | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tip Toe Joe | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sushi Man | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montana Cafe | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Landing Craft | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Speechless | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Heist | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zatara | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lambeth | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Greylind | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hoodlum | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harleezy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gewurztraminer | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charleston | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anthonian | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free Again | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Linebacker | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Sky | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dance Some Mo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rachel’s Caper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Banterra | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brunch Punch | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lite It Up Louie | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tell Me When | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit Rules | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Popperina | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silvia | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance My Way | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | C’Est Cheese | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outrageously | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twas Lola | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | First Hill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Tinsel S.) – Tinsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unload | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Route One | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurry Hurry | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horace Mann | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Chic | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seize the Night | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Departure | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Minister | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Liberal Arts | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Get a Job | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goldbrick | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hern | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big City | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lat Long | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Best | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Giant Leap | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Russell | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daily Grind | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Winston Wolf | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon’s Fault | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bedard | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Paynter’s Canvas | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rebelious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.