Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | War to Remember | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scipio | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Muscled | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch the Breeze | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dettori | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tariff | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power Play | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Choices | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sawtooth Bow | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paarl | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stargell | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bang and a Boom | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River’s Benchmark | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doradus | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bruiser | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notch | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alibi Terhune | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Begin Again | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Whatafoolbelieves | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect in Gray | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Cap | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Putt for Dough | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly a Fantasy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Pixy Stix | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ifuaintfirsturlast | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jewelofakid | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Osage Creek | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concord Bridge | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empire’s Classic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black as My Heart | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Resemblance | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Coast | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spearfish | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stick Shift | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Travail | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Brotato | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bruckner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Chilly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of Clubs | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The G M | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Rosser | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canani | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roxiiesbadboy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trotsky | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Joe Hernandez S.) – Joe Hernandez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Motorious (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unconquerable Keen (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Central Dispatch | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Code Duello | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Air Force Red | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sumter | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gaslight Dancer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irideo (ARG) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zeus’ War | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Book Smart | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bartholdy | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tessuto | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Momad | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Tears | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Blue Norther S.) – Blue Norther S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sea Runner | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Casalu | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Resolve | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supa Speed | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schilflied | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ce La Vi Charli | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tigerish | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Tell Tammo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Will Then | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| So Flashy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Busy Making Munny | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ryan’s Girl | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daddygaveittome | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buds N Suds | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Nea | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrens Fifi | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bling It | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | So Flashy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Jazz | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expect Love | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grogu | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Packs a Wahlop | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stamp My Passport | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lottery Pick | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rimprotector | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | British Isles | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Singer (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Rey Rey | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coolwind | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grogu | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sbagliato | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Calm Sea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.