Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tough Street 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Ain’t Broke 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 5 Willow Bend 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Khali Magic 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ocean Gateway 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ferris Muler 0 0-1
3 3 Shore Time 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Omey Island 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Vitalize 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dreamalongwithme 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Leo’s Reward 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Ferris Muler 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Humstinger 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Higher Force 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Awesome Roberta 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Giant At Work 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Dear John 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Amelia 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rye On the Rocks 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Esther’s Salad 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wine Responsibly 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Solo Empire 12.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Big Rich 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Golden Purchase 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Gum Island 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Deputy Connect 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Your Mission 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Final Denile 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gaga’s Hamsome 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Early On 1.40 2.5 5-1
3 3 Melancia 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Yayi Nikolle 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Contract Law 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Tale of the Tail 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Midnightloveaffair 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Rasta Girl 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Street View 0 0-1
4 4 Enigmatic 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Backstretch Rose 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Dazzy 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 La Vita Sofia 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Roman Goddess 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Street View 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Thirteen Red Flags 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Luna Patina 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Awesome Native 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Classic Legacy 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Otello 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 General Banker 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Celestial Glaze 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Ridgewood Runner 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Gun It 10.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Squire Creek 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Monday Morning Qb 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Reddington 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Alternate Reality 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Queens County S.) – Queens County S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Phileas Fogg 0 0-1
4 4 Phileas Fogg 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Law Professor 2.50 2.2 4-1
11 11 Tabeguache 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Curbstone 30.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Instant Coffee 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Unlimitedpotential 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Repo Rocks 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Film Star 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Surface to Air 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Quality Chic 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Masmak 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Better Be Smart 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mia Nipotina 8.00 2.2 4-1
1A 13 Majulu 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Steppin’ Hawk 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 One Good Raison 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Naughty Destiny 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Miss Uproar 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 I’m Kidding 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Ready to Romance 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 She’s a Natural 15.00 SCRATCH
1 3 My Angel 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Blue Suede Sue 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Digital Currency 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.