Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Im Singled Up 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Esme 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Bikini Bottom 4.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 Chapellete 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sister Seek 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Search 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Coastal Defense 0 0-1
2 2 Uncle Berley 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Mor Jazz 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sendemdowntheroad 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Coastal Defense 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Smoothdini 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Over Calendared 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Criminal Defense 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Late Blacksmith 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Date the Prince 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sand Cast 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Consecrated 4.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Batter Up 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Two Dollars 6.00 2.5 5-1
12 12 Justawalkinthepark 6.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Bigfoot Sighting 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Wayllen Richard 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Act Your Wage 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Does Not Compute 30.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Mackadoo 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Motown Star 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 All Rizz 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kinsley Grace 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Incognito Burrito 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 The Rain Is Gone 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 T D Z Zodiac Queen 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Diva Beach 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Reese’s World 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 A Wicked Number 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mesa Spirit 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Premium 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Saint Charles 12.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Pico d’Oro 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Bankroll 15.00 4.7 9-1
16 16 India Ink 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Appeal Denied 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Twirling Roses 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Atras 20.00 6.4 12-1
15 15 Prince James 12.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Pepper Jack 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Channel Won 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Unified Report 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Musical Spell 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 X J Rascal (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Prince Lancelot (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tdz Hint of Power 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Voila Magic 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Smoken Wicked 0.60 1.3 2-1
5 5 Star Rock Star 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Jonas Grumby 30.00 5 10-1
6 6 Romeo Spikes 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Nana Grace 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 She’s a Swede 15.00 4.1 8-1
15 15 Map Out 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Calamity 8.00 4.2 8-1
13 13 Miss Authentic 15.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Good Conduct 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Goldenageactress 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sky Low Low 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Daring Dame 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 D’aurum 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gin Run 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rather Distinct 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Expecto Patronum 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Love and Poetry 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Aterradora (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Futurity) – Louisiana Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Secret Faith 0.40 1 2-1
1 1 Mischief Princess 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Bet Towinit 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Factor of Time 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Wannawholelottaluv 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 C C Short Drive 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Bella Sorella 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Platinum Midnight 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.