Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Light Thoughts 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Rozzyroo 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Syl’s Pleasure 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Puttin in the Work 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wildcat Annie 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Powerful Jo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Janssen 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mr. Mendelssohn 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Puff’smagicdragon 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Eric From Miami 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Earl of Dassel 2.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 A Lister 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Freud’s Fancy 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Montauk Mystique 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Khali’s Storm 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Lucky and Gorgeous 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 The Splendid One 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Holder Close 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sardis 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ignite the Light 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Badge of War 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Party With Smarty 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Secured Lender 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Happy Henry 1.20 SCRATCH
2 2 The Taco Lady 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Play Good Pay Good 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Luna Moth 2.00 2.1 4-1
2B 8 Our Liberty Belle 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 9 Maggie T 8.00 3 6-1
3 1 Jackson’s Dixie 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 4 Whistler’s Style 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 10 Jackson Avenue 20.00 6.6 12-1
2X 11 Mosienko 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 7 Mon Petit Chou 8.00 SCRATCH
2 5 Trade Secret 4.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Fancy Azteca 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ice Road 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Helium 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Portos 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Street Swagg 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Indianquest 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Steady Progress 30.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Strong Light 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sugar Gray Leonard 30.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Wild Banker 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 More Vino 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vehemente 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shadyside 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Delray 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Take Me to Londyn 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Backwater 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Furry Fox 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Central Casting 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nilo’s Rose 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Honey in the Bank 3.50 1 2-1
8 9 Rodeo Star 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 3 Blakely’s Wish 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 6 Pawtucketshuffle 6.00 3 6-1
6 7 I Heard Somethings 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Fifi La Fume 15.00 5 9-1
10 11 Toxic Girl 15.00 6 11-1
4 5 Sweet Lilac 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 10 Bourbon Blanket 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 4 Ah Ca Ira 12.00 8.6 16-1
1A 2 Evelyn’s War 15.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.