Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Light Thoughts |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rozzyroo |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Syl’s Pleasure |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Puttin in the Work |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Wildcat Annie |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Powerful Jo |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Janssen |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr. Mendelssohn |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Puff’smagicdragon |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eric From Miami |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Earl of Dassel |
2.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
A Lister |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Freud’s Fancy |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Montauk Mystique |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Khali’s Storm |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky and Gorgeous |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Splendid One |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Holder Close |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sardis |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ignite the Light |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Badge of War |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Party With Smarty |
20.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Secured Lender |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Happy Henry |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
The Taco Lady |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
2 |
Play Good Pay Good |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Luna Moth |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2B |
8 |
Our Liberty Belle |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
9 |
Maggie T |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
1 |
Jackson’s Dixie |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
4 |
Whistler’s Style |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
10 |
Jackson Avenue |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2X |
11 |
Mosienko |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
7 |
Mon Petit Chou |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
5 |
Trade Secret |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Fancy Azteca |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ice Road |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Helium |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Portos |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Street Swagg |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Indianquest |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Steady Progress |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Strong Light |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sugar Gray Leonard |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wild Banker |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
More Vino |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Vehemente |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shadyside |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Delray |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Take Me to Londyn |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Backwater |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Furry Fox |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Central Casting |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Nilo’s Rose |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Honey in the Bank |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
9 |
Rodeo Star |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
3 |
Blakely’s Wish |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
6 |
Pawtucketshuffle |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
7 |
I Heard Somethings |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fifi La Fume |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
11 |
Toxic Girl |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
5 |
Sweet Lilac |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
10 |
Bourbon Blanket |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
4 |
Ah Ca Ira |
12.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1A |
2 |
Evelyn’s War |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.