Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sum Charm 0 0-1
Steal Me Over 0 0-1
2 2 Copper Moon 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bitsy Perfectmatch 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Steal Me Over 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jaydyn Cat 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Hot Golden Girl 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sum Charm 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sharper Gal 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Emilyhasherturn 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Pink Lady Lu Sha 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Shelley’s Money 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Lady Helena 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Problematica 1.60 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Razor Crest 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cat County 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Star Apriority 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Deal of Faith 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Computerized 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Iron Fortune 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Valid Early 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Twice as Sassi 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Swamp Queen 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Grand Empress 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Thundering Desire 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Classic Embrace 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Love in the Dark 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Instaspeed 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Vanna G 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Perfect Dixie Lady 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Araratta 4.50 7.2 14-1
6 6 Mo Vista 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Guillotine 12.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Clearly Bella 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Call Me Susan 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jailhouse Religion 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Max’s Redemption 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 She’s Single Again 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Twenty Four Grand 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Red Zone 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Birthday Girl 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Wayzata 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Deer Crossing 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 House Bourbon 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Gamer Nate 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Veterans Day 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Tussling Charlie 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Moment of Stardom 3.50 3.6 7-1
11 11 Peso Pesado 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Coffee County 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Fran’s Star 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Tambourine Star 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Runninginthemoney 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Line of Scrimmage 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Call Me Andy 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Comanche Warrior 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Smart Mo 4.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 House United 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Lucky Romance 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Peso in My Pocket 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Boltage 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Ez Roll 0 0-1
11 11 Coin Miner 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sagittarius 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 C’Est Magnifique 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mosaico Man 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Gotta Keep Him 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Ez Roll 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Now and Later 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Flying Houdini 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Bettera 6.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Agatino (IRE) 5.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Faith Runner 10.00 6.2 12-1
14 14 Dapper Dude 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Cloud Forest 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Iceteca 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Billy’s Got Issues 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 If I Were You 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Copper Crush 1.20 1 2-1
9 9 Drama Queenie 5.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Diamond Country 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Francesnfriends 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Crimson Glory 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Strummin Mary 10.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Krafty Taffy 30.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Secret Wine 6.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Sassi Jolie 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Sacred Vow 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.