Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Pick | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Zap Motion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Claws | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sailor’s Return | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shoot Themessenger | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Super John | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Pick | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Title Shot | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cabinet Pik | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard Serrat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Winged Foot | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Superness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Save a Prayer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Vinny | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Dosser | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Captain | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Wells | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chilling Time | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Doubt Declan | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lotta Charlie | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mersin Heat | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titoschangedmyluck | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Buckin’ Lucky | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amy Mule | 0.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liam’s Kiss | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Titoschangedmyluck | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amalfi Lady | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Town Annie | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gormley Girl | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Been Real Busy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Upstart | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Can Scat | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Side Up | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Like Crazy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chance Occurrence | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | End of the Rainbow | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Girl | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Angel of Harlem | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil Sally | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Edge of the Blade | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Vera | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Tozi | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Counting | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lily’s Time | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mariah Kathryn | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imperio Azteca | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Carolyn Doris | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Hard to Get | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Socially Awkward | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunday Spirit | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Chill | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Lion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Feelucky Tonite | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motskari | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patriarchal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin Gunner | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zoppi Fischbein | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Must Be Love | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Pappy | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Group Hug | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome for Sure | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runyonesque | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Book Runner | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kobe B | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commingling | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brindisi | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ambitiously Placed | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pachelbel | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Supream | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juradicial | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tavin | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Between Dreams | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clout Chaser | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pearls and Heels | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Our Uptown Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Snappy Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | All American Rod | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Don’t See Colors | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cathedral Beach | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Top of the Street | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Flay | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Capital Conquest | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don Tequilas | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Humble Joe | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Center Mid Maddie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dream Knight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bernie’s Mitts | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bullet Breeze | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Surfboard | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | El de Leo | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Birthday Bond Rob | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Watch Hill | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Action Dream | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Travel Guide | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Badbadbobby | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Game Misconduct | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Joe | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Road Call | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blackwater Falls | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | William’s Cause | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Takemetothemoon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.