Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Real Eleve |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rockible |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
M G Dash |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Real Eleve |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tino in Toga |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Klimt Master |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spirit Dragon |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Smilensaycheese |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sand Devil |
0.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Corvus |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Buttah |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
McDiesel |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
New Matthew |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Good Reunion |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
7 |
War Stride |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Neuschwanstein |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
2 |
Good Reunion |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
8 |
My Cool Hand Luke |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1A |
5 |
Giant’s Fire |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
6 |
Midnight Worker |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
4 |
Devil’s Cay |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Muazarah |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Malu |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Elliptic |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
6 |
Gone and Forgotten |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Racing Colors |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Carbon |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1A |
7 |
Mosienko |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Bustin Bay |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
8 |
Bernt Again |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Burn Rubber |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stormy’s Dreaming |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
2 |
Solo Flight |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Break the Fall |
1.40 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1A |
7 |
Drive Thru |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wind Dancer |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Maximus Monster |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sicilianaire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Honorary Degree |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Air Show |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quick Hammer |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Daddy Knows |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Union Lights |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Always Charming |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dads Good Runner |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
St. Benedicts Prep |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rachel’s Rock |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Simply Stated |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Security Code |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Captainsdaughter |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Early Edition |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Winter’s Ghost |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Because the Night |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Front Man |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pipes and Drums |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Higher Quality |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mr. Swagger |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Venge |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bar Fourteen |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Co Conspirator |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prince of Joy |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.