Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jenny’s Day | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fern Spirit | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gottotry Mischief | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whodoyoulikehere | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Hour Queen | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Half Sister | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sayyoulovemebaby | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prizeless | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back Bayou | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slither | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkin | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saturday’s Gold | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truvy’s Bandit | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Barrel Man | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Song | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Boss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seitan | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yankeestrolgy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deelitesandimsum | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senor Smoke | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Special Star | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Late Again | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piccolo Uomo | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Samaritan | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Touchdown Joe | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brilliant Colors | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Insignis | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Napoleonic Code | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockall | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Carlos | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hail the Cat | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder Road | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wanna Winna | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Inspector Ed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cooler King | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | E R’s Mireya | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C. F. Tinny Deal | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Cantaros | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Deal | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Cigarette | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Gypsy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amelies Dreamer | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly’s Harbor | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Live Affair | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game and Gormley | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Warrior | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canal St. Cupid | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zippy Toga | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tucker the Grump | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A True Target | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El It | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frenetic Day | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R T’s d’Oro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Admiral Afleet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bar Tap | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carpe Horseshoe | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Art Queen | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Girl Thirsty | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reina Del Sur | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mary Jack | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Exaggeration | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emityaaz | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Longleggedlaverne | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sienna Breeze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tay Tay’s Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Xy Face | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yakety Yak | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Merlot | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tap On By | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cool Ride | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Out Making Treble | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Tough | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saucy Argument | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gold Capo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lucas Zip It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aller Vite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.