Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emirates Road | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Black Rain | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emirates Road | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peek | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Logic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Dreams | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncle Hulka | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | A Bourbon for Toby | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daw Samaa | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Uncle Hulka | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tracking Error | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Tapizar’s Temper | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Chowser | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Foil | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chipotle | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robert’s Moon | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brave Bear | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run of the House | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapwrits Temper | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sobieski | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Millie Jean | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tempting Lady | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Political Spin | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Exotic Cat | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gouldian | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | That’sthefactjack | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Looking for Ginny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Endeavor | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Deal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Empty Tomb | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | He’s Got This | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cumberland Blues | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Majestic Frontier | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Bold Victory | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Two for Charging | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bold Ambition | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Six Kings | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Monopoly Man | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rohan | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Rhodes | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Daddy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Berning Beauty | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fake Celebrity | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incantation | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boys Code | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Az U Chase Me | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tricolour | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragazzo Diabolico | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Huntsman | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Hazardous Humor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Jackie the Joker | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Trade Secret | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Willful Desire | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | R Funny Bizness | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Mon Petit Chou | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Halo City | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Balenciaga Betty | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.