Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Cupcake Cowboy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flashin Chip |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Muncle |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Astrology Wonowon |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cat Daddy’s Cat |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Way too Tough |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Not Likely |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cajun Country |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
A Fool for Carlos |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Target Ready |
20.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Knight’s Gold |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Great Escape |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brite Outlook |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ready to Purrform |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Iron in the Fire |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rising Empire |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hyperbolist |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Special Stormy |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
She’s a Bandit |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shamay |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Deal With It |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Say as I Say |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jazzy Gal |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bobby’s Girl |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wings of a Sparrow |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cosmopolitankitten |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Laryscountrygirl |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Storm Surge |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tdz Dancinlilslew |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Infinitesimal |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Four Sevens |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Doctor Leo |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bind Faith |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cajun Mischief |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
All Together |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mokings |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grunt |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Racy Bille |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sadie’s Light |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Reddingandlee |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Hidden Love |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
She Smiled At Me |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Good by Faith |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saint Isabel |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Stand by Time |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mid West Fun |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Field of Lights |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
She’s Extra |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Leprechaun Charm |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mallory’s Ocean |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Dylan’s Dream |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Kerrigan’s Touch |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Sam’s Town S.) – Sam’s Town S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
General Shipman |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Old Homestead |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lagoon |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hap Hot |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Empire of Gold |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Autumns Strong Man |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tape to Tape |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Richies Princess |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jilly’s West |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Usain d’Oro |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fitzy |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stacy’s Rare Find |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Half Page |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Catalina |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Red Whistle |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Orleans S.) – Orleans S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Makeup |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jumpin Judy |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tennessee Moon |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Arlington |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fire Vision |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Luyv |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Guitar Solo |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tap Iron Fist |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Queen of the Moon |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Giant Tude |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Aurora Australis |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Beulah K |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Holiday Double |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Coushatta Cutie |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Costa Lady |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dr. Boo |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Glorious Gears |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gypsy Jackpot |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Beat the Double |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.