Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 3, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Contraband Early 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Breaking Star 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 You Good 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Witchology 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Temple of Peace 3.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Involvednteraction 6.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Caughtupndamoment 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Reach for the Aces 15.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Daddy’s Code 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Roll Gypsy Roll 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Lily’s Creed 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Rock Star Doctor 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Coinmaker 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Dre Me Less 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Beyond the Hype 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Honey Run 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 J Z’s First 12.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Glamorous Life 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Temple 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nobrag Justfact 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Perfect Star 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Super Wise 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Z Z’s Prince 3.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 My Bariley 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Boitano 12.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Silver Galaxy 6.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Hexcel 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chi Town Hustler 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mischief Joke 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Creole Charlie 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Shut Up Man 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 B W P Spirit 4.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Mark the Moose 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Risky Boy 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 River Raft 6.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Charlie’s Creed 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gouvernatrice 0 0-1
9 9 Tizntshelovely 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Nile Valley 3.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Curls Nite Out 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Giant Storm 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Embrasser 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Freedom Forever 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Romany Road 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Golden Bonita 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Gouvernatrice 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Causeway Benny 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Court Jester 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Le Monstre Rapide 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Wicked Secret 4.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bons Temps Roule 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Poppa Magic 4.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 Avery’s Gem 10.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Gem Buoy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cigarette Boat 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Caper’s Hooley 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Cajun Blast 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Rock N Roll Bolt 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Norwich 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Committee of One 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Petcoff 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Ceepeegee 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Wild West Justice 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Princip 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 F T W Slam 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nine Part 3.50 4 7-1
7 7 Carpis 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Astrologysprotege 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Otra Cosa 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Charli Michael 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Got Me a Chrysler 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Tambourine Star 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Prodigy Paradise 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.