Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Honor That Dude | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Attestation | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valid Sense | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stable Agent | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mega Don | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Renege | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thunder Cane | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R Money Moves | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Impact | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kharif | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splurge | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Splurge | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lita | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Splurge | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Into Touring | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Jenny | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Spark | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pasajera | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | It’s Just a Game | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tavria | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Me to Paris | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Morgan | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ocala | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breezethrutime | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gulfstream Mary D | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sunday Song | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eastern Extension (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nando | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Jack Flash | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Maestro | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Chitu | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notorious | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ever Dangerous | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocala Dream | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Curlin | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Country | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T B Twelve Always | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Mar | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Dover | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cashier Check | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Italian Symphony | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mean to Me | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frida | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy’s Gift | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marty’s Gal | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alia’s Faith | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amalfi Sunset | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empressstrikesback | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classic Ballad | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neom City | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky Seas | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sand Wedge | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taking It All | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ave Fenix | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Kingdom | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Lunita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bigbouquetofroses | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | K. C. Chief | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tidal Forces | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Street Money | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icelander | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grande Soiree | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Navy Cross | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord of War | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deadpan | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Causin’ Mayhem | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air Invasion | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deadpan | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oskar Martinez (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Beers by Ten | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Top Box | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Public Defender | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swinging Solo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Frost Bitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.