Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Notmysteppingstone | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty of War | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Dreams | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin to Rock | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Words | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wave | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Timaeus | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abadin | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Master of Arms | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hatch | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heard On Thestreet | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Isomarshall | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ouster | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kinetic Sky | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winit | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Costa Terra | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masmak | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheriff Bianco | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top of the Table | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | First Class Cat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Dancer | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Majesty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spiritual Lady | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alcala | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top of the Table | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poseidon’s Mist | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tap It Easy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lets Fight | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roofer | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powered by Coal | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swift Magic | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arch’s Assault | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Outsource | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runamor | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Trinity River | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Have a Cigar | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magni | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday Gilt | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fines Creek | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Island Charlie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dominican Pirate | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Million Stories | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Asset Management | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Evaluation | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Embraceable Gal | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fabulous Fox | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nolita | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ariana Rye | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Granadilla | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annieworkstoomuch | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valentine Gift | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Jerome S.) – Jerome S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Studlydoright | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mansetti | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Omaha Omaha | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ican | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cyclone State | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enduring Spirit | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Magic | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McAfee | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | That’s Money | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Flight | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Collect From Ike | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thank You Jon | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Cay | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whenlovetakesover | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Moonracer | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Khali | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arrebato | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Badlands Ruler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.