Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Watch This Munny |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rosy Edge |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eli’s Girl |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magic Glass |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chrome Racer |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ruled by Spirit |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cayman Queen |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Millie’s Stardust |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Golden Cole |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Simoneaux Storm |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smalltownsmokeshow |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gold Boom |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cigars N Cars |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Cheese Bread |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Slug Bug |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Prince Perfecta |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dixie’s Astro |
12.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Take It to Court |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kat’s Soldier |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Louisiana Bargain |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kats Pick |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Easy Eddie A |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Berndt Marshmallow |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mississippi Co. |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Trips to Win |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Kah Nigh |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Due We Dare |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Muchmorethanready |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
R T’s Gem |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blue Ridge Queen |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Megans Millions |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tincandance |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Alpine Mist |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Tensas Candy |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Sue’s Little Zing |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
The Rage of Art |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Daisy de Oro |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dream Trap |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’smysmokeshow |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Its My Money Too |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mischief Angel |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Agami |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Be Bo |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Amen |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Richie’s Gal |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Saberfight |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tdz Corrienda Star |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Taken It |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
She Badger |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Geaux Vote |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss E. Fu |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Long Shot Louise |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grace’s Soldier |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cece Wave |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Lightening Mo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Entitlement |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Lexi’s Fury |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Lil Sweet Thang |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Three Gold Pieces |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cabro Toro |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
A Brush of Luck |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Northwind |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Putthehammerdown |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Classic Warrior |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jimmie’s Halo |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stone Alliance |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Xietelehuas |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crushed It |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Courageous Cupid |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pegaso |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Connectique |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Donegal Dreamer |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pitch and Run |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Channelfortynine |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Letmikefigureitout |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Briartown |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sam’s Promise |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Daryl’s Bolt |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pure Malice |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Crimson |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Alligator Crawl |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hayhaycaptain Jac |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Town Branch |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Perfect Strike |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.