Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Watch This Munny 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rosy Edge 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Eli’s Girl 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Magic Glass 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Chrome Racer 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ruled by Spirit 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Cayman Queen 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Millie’s Stardust 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Golden Cole 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Simoneaux Storm 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Smalltownsmokeshow 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Gold Boom 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cigars N Cars 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Miss Cheese Bread 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Slug Bug 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prince Perfecta 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dixie’s Astro 12.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Take It to Court 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Kat’s Soldier 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Louisiana Bargain 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kats Pick 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Easy Eddie A 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Berndt Marshmallow 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Mississippi Co. 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Trips to Win 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kah Nigh 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Due We Dare 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Muchmorethanready 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 R T’s Gem 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Blue Ridge Queen 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Megans Millions 8.00 5 9-1
8 8 Tincandance 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Alpine Mist 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tensas Candy 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Sue’s Little Zing 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 The Rage of Art 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Daisy de Oro 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Dream Trap 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 She’smysmokeshow 15.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Its My Money Too 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Mischief Angel 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Agami 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Be Bo 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Our Amen 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Richie’s Gal 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Saberfight 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Tdz Corrienda Star 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Taken It 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 She Badger 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Geaux Vote 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Miss E. Fu 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Long Shot Louise 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Grace’s Soldier 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Cece Wave 15.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Lightening Mo 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Entitlement 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lexi’s Fury 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lil Sweet Thang 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Three Gold Pieces 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Cabro Toro 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 A Brush of Luck 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Northwind 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Putthehammerdown 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Classic Warrior 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Jimmie’s Halo 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Stone Alliance 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Xietelehuas 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crushed It 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Courageous Cupid 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Pegaso 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Connectique 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Donegal Dreamer 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Pitch and Run 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Channelfortynine 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Letmikefigureitout 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Briartown 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sam’s Promise 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Daryl’s Bolt 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Pure Malice 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 True Crimson 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Alligator Crawl 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Hayhaycaptain Jac 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Town Branch 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Perfect Strike 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.