Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Apriority Rocket 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vero Campione 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Zoey’s Hippie 30.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Its Wild Again 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Whatta Life 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Puppeteer 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Sunny Sassicaia 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Eve’s Delight 0 0-1
2 2 Boomin’ Belle 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Eye of the Pharaoh 4.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Tommie G 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Eve’s Delight 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Graceleadsushome 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sweet Sassicaia 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Drewsilla 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Island Gold 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Platinum Minit 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Visionista 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Vale Male 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Saint Eros Girl 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Huntleigh 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tyrona 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Sally’s Suprise 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Simona’s Choice 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bayshore Foxes 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Out too Late (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Just a Coed 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Crank It Up 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Star Anise 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Izzy Sweet Girl (IRE) 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tapit Quick 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Closing Prayer 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Princess Pom Pom 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Pioneer Mission 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Jade d’Amore 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Oak Hill Lg 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Runninginthemoney 1.80 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mysterious Spirit 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Knockalittlelouder 5.00 4 7-1
4 4 Flash N Class 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Hoosier 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Totally Addicted 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Good Conduct 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Rather Distinct 6.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Aterradora (IRE) 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Aviso 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Goldenageactress 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Love and Poetry 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Gin Run 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Sell the Buffalo 12.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Daring Dame 6.00 8 15-1
6 6 Expecto Patronum 10.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Miss Birkin (IRE) 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 El Magnifico 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Skip the Line 1.80 2.2 4-1
1 1 Orizzonte 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Brilliant Call 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Bayou Blitz 3.50 6 11-1
6 6 Max S 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sugar Bee 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Numero Seis 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Don’t Say It 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Kick a Rhyme (IRE) 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Obstreperous 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Garnet and Gold 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Cynane 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Classic Performer 6.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Splash Master 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Cloey Attack 15.00 8 15-1
14 14 Notable Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Great Maybe 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Rubia 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jaydensqueenoharts 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 La Foret 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Will Take It 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Gilded Craken 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Glen Airy 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Moonlight 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Coppermaster 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 National Eclipse 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Gorilla Trek 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 City of Love 6.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.