Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Candytown 0 0-1
Candytown 0 0-1
8 8 Oasis Prince 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Buzz Rocket 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Global Prosperity 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Classy War 2.50 7.8 15-1
4 4 Aussie Bound 3.50 8.4 16-1
5 5 Human Desire 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Gates Pond 8.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Thirteen Colonies 10.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Souper Times 10.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Candytown 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Emmy Award 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nvdia 15.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Instagrand Girl 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Miss Mitole 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Grand Golden Road 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Gwenniethebutcher 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 La Mas Linda 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Freedom Princess 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blaze of Color 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Iron Man Jimmy 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Rapture Bay 1.80 2 4-1
8 8 Little Steven 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Orb Alpha 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Cajun’s Choice 30.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Better Luck 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Tio Tony 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Wine Empire 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Summer Storm Stric 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Carlin Clan 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Isaac Leo 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Back in Business 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Deputy Tramon 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Gryphon 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 El Guty 2.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Love Hate 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blond Jak 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Right Angle 15.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Popstyle 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Garuda 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Light the Torch 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Xenon 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Rue de Mosel Tov 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Thehillonwoodside 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Edith 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Swirling Eights 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Papa Golf 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Shot in the Dark 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Versus 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 After Taxes (IRE) 2.50 7.3 14-1
9 9 Bolt to Run 30.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Trip Aces 10.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Aqueous 8.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 On the Mount 6.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Bite and Strike 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Chico Charlie 0 0-1
3 3 Valentine Bug 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mobou 3.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Mailman Money 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Honesto 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 McMoney 15.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 The Doorman 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Infamous Covert 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Unraptured 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Chico Charlie 20.00 6 11-1
11 11 Gentleman Gerry 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Drillomatic 30.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Mehlek 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Just Relax 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Oleg 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Atention to Detail 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Mahovlich 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Flood Zone 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Genuine Gomo 4.50 6.6 13-1
6 6 Caracas 8.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 He’s a Beast 5.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Loud Applause 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Navy Seal (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Echo Lane 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Ramblin’ Wreck 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Mount Horeb 3.50 4.6 9-1
13 13 Fredo 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Enlighten 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Themanupfront 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Wind Rider 30.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Iris’s Dream 12.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Raguel 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Thornbury 20.00 9.3 17-1
5 5 Rafaroo 30.00 10.6 20-1
15 15 Hot Blooded 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bless America 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fortune Seller 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Mucho Macho Man S.) – Mucho Macho Man S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Guns Loaded 0 0-1
3 3 McKellen 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cool Intentions 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Guns Loaded 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Macho Music 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Septarian 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Treaty of Rome 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Sonic Skidaddle 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Naughty Rascal 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rolando 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Ginger Brew S.) – Ginger Brew S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Correto 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Nitrogen 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Special Aviator 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Civetta 3.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Good Long Cry 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Fixin to Bee 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Disco Star 10.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Winning Streep 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Love Cervere 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Forward Deployed 15.00 8 15-1
1 1 Smile Po 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hello Hello Hello 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 La Gioconda 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.