Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chief Liam | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | The Warden | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Baranof | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crisis Manager | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Liam | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Max Got Excited | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Miles | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Limit | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Primo Canary | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hypnus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Favorite Monkey | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Espionage | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Derby Date | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raymond | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alto Road | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Martini Blu | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Axton | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Larry’s Legend | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Knicks Story | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Man On the Moon | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deflater | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Without Objection | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Jack | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stand Proud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Worth Looking | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bermuda Blitz | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Ride | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waco | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mintastic | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zoom | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miracle On Central | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tip Toe Joe | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Momissioner | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Montana Cafe | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sushi Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Work Boots | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Chasin’ Chaffin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Higher Standard | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Payne | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Synthesis | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Briterdayzahead | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | California Tiger | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Got Thunder | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Diesel | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzlemesilver | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | American Law | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Samurai Prince | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hello Hot Rod | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Manta Rey | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crue’s N Control | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Burlsworth | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Dollar Eddie | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | God’s Country | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Butch | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Get Away With It | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Fork | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baby Nova | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ranch Hand | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Crue’s N Control | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paramount Paycheck | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viney | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getoutyourwallet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucency | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Heist | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big City | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goldbrick | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lat Long | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zatara | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Giant Leap | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon’s Fault | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Aficionado | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Charleston | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cybertown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rachel’s Caper | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Toddchero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Anthonian | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Mockingbird S.) – Mockingbird S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shisospicy | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G W’s Girl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chatter | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Piggy Tales Up | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clapping Trees | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battleshipper | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Helen’s Revenge | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flash Master | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Crush | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Attache | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goodasiwonswas | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Juilliard | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gunflash | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Run Jalen Run | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hailstorm | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willie Bird | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Braylon | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Pranks | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lundberg | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Drewmania | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great Richie M | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Millers Rite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ravin’s Town | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Smarty Jones S.) – Smarty Jones S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kale’s Angel | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coal Battle | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Property | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Quality | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Temps | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Gunner | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Optical | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Curvino | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Russell | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Get a Job | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Greylind | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lambeth | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Some Mo | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winston Wolf | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hoodlum | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gewurztraminer | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linebacker | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daily Grind | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Sky | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Free Again | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Paynter’s Canvas | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bedard | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.