Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Van Vollenhoven | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vitalize | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leo’s Reward | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D C Boy’s | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Amendment | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baron of Sealand | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just Licorice | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Colton | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twohonestmischief | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Revivalism | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solar Glare | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monomoys Partner | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Barrie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | It Takes Heart | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Linda | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Condiment Girl | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | April Antics | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jolly Miss Jill | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raw Power | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suspended Campaign | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Magical | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Wisdom | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unwoke | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby’s Legacy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lottie Margaret | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Observer | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aibell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Awesome Life | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prairie Dunes | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Nilruc | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | First Trumpet | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Limits of Power | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wajda | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Dangerous Driver | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noble One | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lcgolucky | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Dream Alliance | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scottish Storm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commerce Comet | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | For Some Reason | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Critical Threat | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Giroovin | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Natural Harbor | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smile Mon | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Commerce Comet | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dot’s Dollar | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Montebello | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sin Nombre | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | President Z | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Headline Numbers | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Headline Numbers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khali Magic | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equus | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kid’s Last Laugh | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Courbe | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patricia Ann | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodnightngodbless | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Proud Foot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | I’m Buzzy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Golden Degree | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Will Be Famous | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Jam | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dashing Della | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Find Your Joy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sun and Wind | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Karen’s Honor | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starry Midnight | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mysaria | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Book of Wisdom | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dolce Sera | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Royal Vow | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.