Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cotton Candy Annie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoom Erin | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Lady Slew | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flowersforshantell | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reba Attack | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seriously Sassy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Love Gotta Go | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Princip | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willtorun | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cortese | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talons Time | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry’s Eighty | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speitful Sam | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April’s Gem | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Pat Hand Girl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Start Singing | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Berlaine | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Distinctive | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pasta Salad Rhonda | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Birdie Call | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Crystal d’Oro | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | April’s Gem | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Xcaret | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Layla’s Song | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pat Hand Girl | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Luminous Flight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Differently | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Regimental | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Faversham | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiverton | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Cause | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonovermontgomery | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surprise Road Trip | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joeybones | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country Cut | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gorostieta’s Love | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Amentum | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Jig Is Up (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Hope | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Higginsville | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Na Pali Joe | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wholeheartedly | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Its Just Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Two Weeks Notice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stradivarian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Interlude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sharp Strike | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Rosenow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Seaville | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Numero Siete | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hall of Fame | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Hall of Fame | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Baby | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uxmal | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat On Time | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winters Lion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snead | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Frost Mountain | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spielman | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flame Rock Fire | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hen Hen | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | World Chaos | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Pleasure | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drobny | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chaste One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | That’s Apriority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Berkus (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wise Anchor | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Priority | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Order Up | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cryptozonic | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drewmazing | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hooray Austin | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drilling Report | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Street | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Father Goose | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Premo | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.