Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Patch O’Brien | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Independent Paul | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Melody | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Raider | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Classically | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gluckstadt | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rev Too | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Point Blank | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Cougar | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Ending | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rivetage | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Game Keeper | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phreddie Mac | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Copper Echo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Rum | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’ll Do | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charbon | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Have Dreams | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Gentleman | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nofurtherquestions | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gasoline | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coinage | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nullarbor | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J. P. Race | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unstable Prince | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sonneman | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiwanaku | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chaos Reigns | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ringside | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | What’s Her Number | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avalon Girl | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moorea Time | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Georgia On E’smind | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Knockout | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Alex | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taka | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Karson Kay | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kentucky Starlet | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss World Peace | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Poetic Fury | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Powder | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Bishops Bay | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodcourt | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baton Rouge | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empire Builder | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayes Strike | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Willy D’s | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Powder | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vittorio | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carolo Rapido | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Enticing Beauty | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskenforaraise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cat Pays the Toll | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Fantastica | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zaghruta | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Milady | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ensorcell | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Aliyah | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awakening | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Calipari’s Girl | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Shot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Simply Enchanting | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Just My Heels | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Cami | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kirby Kaye | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cararra | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contour | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outrageously | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilian Grandma | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saranac Lake | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twas Lola | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marshside Mama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | True Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bright Leaf | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ethereal Road | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mandolin Wind | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Action | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maximus Magic | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Huge Bigly | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Boss | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Thunderer | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paynter’s Canvas | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Channel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Black Apple | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Tinsel S.) – Tinsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Route One | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unload | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horace Mann | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Departure | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seize the Night | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Screen | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Chic | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Boy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Looms Boldly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Flag | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carbone | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ninja Warrior | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | W W Scout’s Honor | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chiringo | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Two Eagles River | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Invulnerable | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Blue | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excitable Boy | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Outlaw | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Favorite Outlaw | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Big Hat Willie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.