Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Happyasaclam (IRE) |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rich of Joy |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fire Ban |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Last Elizabethan |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Day Dawning |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Holly Goquickly (FR) |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nakota (IRE) |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Parade Down Broad |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ghostess |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Grubauer |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grubauer |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clever Clover |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Established |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Melanie’s Tiger |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lmlooknformischief |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talk About Autism |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thirsty Friend |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Nameless |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shanagolden |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sugar Beets |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fantastic Dream |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beskar |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nameless |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ruler of Angels |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Movietime |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pour On the Cole |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reef City |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Lord Wimborne (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Freedom’s Not Free |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tamino |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mythical Reel (IRE) |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Unbreakable Trust |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flaubert |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grinnell |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Newlands |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Soul Music |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Just Resilience |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Safa |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wishtheyallcouldbe |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Over Attracted |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roselee May |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dolce Ghost |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ragtime Rose |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Becky’s Dream (FR) |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cajun Gold |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soi Ngern |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Supersonic Blue |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toughness |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Springs |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pop Paul |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Unique Power |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
General Jackson |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smiling Tizzy |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dirty Words |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton Santa Ynez S.) – Fasig-tipton Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Silent Law |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Practical Dream |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Look Forward |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Artisma |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
A. Z. Wildcat |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mawu |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Howin |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Polythene Pam |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Royal Charter (GB) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Sareeha (IRE) |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Excelerina (IRE) |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ruff Ride |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Real Fire |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Omnipontet (BRZ) |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ima Joker |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yuki (CHI) |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Travel the Map |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Constant Conflict |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Teddy’s Triumph |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Red On Sunday |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Salsation |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Formidable Threat |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
New York Dreams (GB) |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stan From Malibu |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Littlebrotherjoey |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spiritist |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
4 |
4 |
Novinophobia |
12.00 |
11.1 |
21-1 |
9 |
9 |
Running Tiger |
12.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
10 |
10 |
Picking It Up |
12.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Baby Waylon |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
One Time Mark |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dealers Special |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Presider |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Juanito |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Belmont Bill |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Six Magpies (IRE) |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brave Blend |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gentlemen’s Club |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Mongolian Altai |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bad to the Bones |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Crazy Cavalier |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Sine Qua Non |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.