Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salt Spray (IRE) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K R Power Storm | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Patek | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Texas Charm | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Natural High | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Superhero | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voyant | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Ronnie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Palace | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Achromedoutcat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Doctored Deal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Just Lucky | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Chopper | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Promise | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marks Promise | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stovall | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doublediamond Deal | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Star | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thats Unbelievable | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jojo Bean | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Palabra | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neon Moonlight | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamchaser Jewels | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzira | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Distorted Math | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’s Finest | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Night Train | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Star | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Still On the Books | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Six Fingers | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Capo | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meet Kevin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dewclaw | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Tequila | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greatizlove | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Butchy Boy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Lagarto | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Billy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Doris | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Rage | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Apriority Magic | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Hot Storm | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astrology Girl | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Line Ruler | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maximum Moxie | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hopeshecanrun | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Candy | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calling | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mydealoftheday | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Call My Banker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Uncle Leon | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elusive d’Oro | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talk to Tokey | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Storm | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fahan | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muffin Nuts | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lexington River | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skippa | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ragtime Blues | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Rojo | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Gigi | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mor Big Lee | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mint | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pinch Me a Penny | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bleep Bleep | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Birthday Party | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easy Big Boy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Brad | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lover Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unfathomed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.