Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 9, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Light Man 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Clear the Air 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Surveillance 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 He’smyhoneybadger 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Scoot Daddy 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Short Shift 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Shaman Princess 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Artemis Sound 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 Troubled Luck 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Dat Dares Right 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Looks First 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Daufuskie Island 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wake Surf 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Have You Heard 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 J D Factor 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Forrest City 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Life and Light 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 One Vision 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Strand Road 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 King Phoenix 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Man From Malta 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Dead Aim 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Nine N Four 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Frontal Vision 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Neural Network 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kolomio 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Quiet Wisdom 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Russian Realm 1.60 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bossmakinbossmoves 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Kaz Sugar Bank 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ice Time 10.00 1 2-1
7 8 Paddington 1.60 1.3 2-1
5 5 Engineer Empire 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Castle Island 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Because the Night 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Portos 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 2 Prince of Chill 8.00 5.7 11-1
1A 7 Patriarchal 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Printrack 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shipsational 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Air of Defiance 12.00 3 6-1
8 9 Silo Ridge 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Laser Sharp 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 8 Quick to Accuse 2.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Beaver State 8.00 5 10-1
1A 7 Radio Red 3.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Light the Way 30.00 8.8 17-1
1 2 Crazy Mason 3.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nina Kay 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mischief Lady 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Princess Mischief 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Valtellina 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Carmen’s Candy Jar 4.50 5 10-1
6 6 Boston’s Phinest 3.50 6.1 12-1
12 12 D’s a Rock 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Timia 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Howling Wind 30.00 8 15-1
10 10 Misseliofwar 50.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Straca 15.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Idyll Gossip 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.