Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mary’s Boon |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frost and Fire |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gold Plus |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mary’s Boon |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aztec Empress |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flight On Race Day |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Maximus |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Ampitup |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nova’s Return |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rayden and Remi |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Louisiana Native |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Coattails |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Night Stick |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sophie’s Painter |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Does Not Compute |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Ice |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Motown Star |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Deftly Done |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wayllen Richard |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cajun Swagger |
15.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Does Not Compute |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nine Oh One |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Guitar Woman |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
A Miss Deameanor |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Custom Punch |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Pretty Sister |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Rosie |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Guitar Woman |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Running Argument |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starship Jambalaya |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Acousticat |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Multiplication |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eyes On Italy |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Armaleese |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Taco Cat Backwards |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tartaria |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cheval B |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Plaza Cue |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Toscano |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pinfire |
1.80 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mahoney Road |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gambe Forte |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Concentration |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Two Tons of Fun |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Prowling Tiger |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twoko Bay |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Optimus Kat |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ski Patrol |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Interstellar |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gentle Soul |
3.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shady McGee (IRE) |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brother Reid |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Firewater Jake |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dare to Fail |
20.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wicked Trick |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
English Challenge |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
French Composer |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Path to Success |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
X J Rascal (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Prince Lancelot (GB) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Right Spot |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gunner Glacken |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shoot the Nickel |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Carambaso |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Allied Commander |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
American City |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Right Spot |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Party On Girl (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
She Has It All |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rue Lala |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Notice Me Too |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cecile |
1.80 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rockets Sister |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sweet Alyssa |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kaely’s Sister |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Flatter Me Silly |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Tu Cha |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Munnings Catsle |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lovely Sassicaia |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flat Out Runner |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nervy |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Handsome Harold |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bet On Bobby |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Native Star |
3.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Catalina Day |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gatsby’s Fortune |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Baby’s Last Dance |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.