Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sweet Run |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Mo Harmony |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sweet Run |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sheshimaintenance |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abundant Love |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Golden Valley |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady River Lily |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mo Harmony |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
City Taah |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Starship Melody |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Win After Win |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Campaign Secret |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Not Guilty |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boot’s On the Moon |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pharaoh’s Favorite |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bianka Heart |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Did I Dazzle You |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Camdyn Race |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fashionable Kitty |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Speed Control |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Winooski |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Las Olas |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Quality |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Magicshadow |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Remerton |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Selecto |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mac to Moore |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bal de Mar |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hedge My Bet |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carnane (IRE) |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dial Home |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Girvin Star |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Motor |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Adios Papa Chico |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Divo d’Oro |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ekati King |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rathmore |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Khoolzan |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Black Fury |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Adios Papa Chico |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Beast |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bellavinino |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pocket Pair |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mi Triguena |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mia Vita |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Mary Nell |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Altamira Sur |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zo Zucchera |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Beach Goes On |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mizoula (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Weighted Average |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mission of Hope |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Selfless |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
This Country |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silvology |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Buttercup |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gate to Wire |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Into Diamonds |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boundfortrouble |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Back Em Up |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Torch Is Passed |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Turbulent Force |
4.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Happyflyer |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Neat Trick |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Annulled |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Save Time |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Neat Trick |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Here’syourtrouble |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Christinabarcelona |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Annulled |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rumours Have It |
2.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Secret Revenge |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Bia |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lunetta Jak |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.