Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Soundbite 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good Mission 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Yo Leven 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Solve the Puzzle 1.60 2.4 5-1
3 3 Park Avenue Betty 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Scarborough Fair 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Damage 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Well Suited 5.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Broderick 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 M G Dash 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Willingness 8.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Arcadian 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Daytona Moonshine 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 I’m Solo N in Love 20.00 3.7 7-1
Well Suited 10 19-1
Damage 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Jackson’s Dixie 8.00 1 2-1
1A 4 Shesalittle Edgy 1.40 1.1 2-1
4 5 Mattitude 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 7 Gridlock 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 My Girl Jal 20.00 1.8 3-1
1 3 Maggie T 1.40 2.1 4-1
2 1 Killy Start 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 8 Brzina 4.00 3.2 6-1
My Girl Jal 10 19-1
Jackson’s Dixie 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Roman Goddess 2.00 1 2-1
2 8 Union Suit 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 1 Last Glory 15.00 3.4 7-1
2B 9 Belle of the Ball 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Tipsy Runner 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 2 How Sweet She Is 3.50 6.2 12-1
4 3 Follow Your Arrow 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Coquito 4.50 7.4 14-1
1A 7 Ribbonsinherhair 3.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Willful Mama 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Cara’s Dreamweaver 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Tower Twenty Two 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Soho Nights 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Royal Bobbie 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Julita 4.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 Bank On Bebe 30.00 7 13-1
4 4 Giuliana’s Dream 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Delaware Devil 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magnum’s Microbrst 15.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Home Wrecker 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Moonlit Drive 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 More Than Grace 1.60 5 9-1
3 3 Taste of Diamonds 5.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 My Daughters’ Gift 30.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Wouldja Couldja 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Flat Out Flying 3.50 1 2-1
1A 9 Bad Larry 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Cheeky Tico 30.00 5 9-1
1 4 Scaramanga 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Debate 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 First Glimpse 4.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 He’s Got This 3.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Mr. Swagger 6.00 7.8 15-1
2 1 Mystic Night 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Al’s Ruby 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Maggy’s Palace 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 4 Gone and Forgotten 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 True Empress 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Miss Lao 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Sue Ellen Mishkin 8.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 My Magic Wand 4.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Foxy Cara 20.00 5.8 11-1
1A 12 Mosienko 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Latest Edition 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Queens Masterpiece 30.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 A Maize Zing Dotie 15.00 7.1 13-1
Mosienko 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.