Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run Away Samari 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Everylittlesingh 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Aspen Link 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Canadian Carla 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Adiamondinthestorm 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Real Deal Ryan 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Gigi’s Luv 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Global Pride 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Julia’s Warrior 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Oncoming Train 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Crime Spree 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Uncle Berley 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Twirling Roses 10.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Irish Kitten 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jewish Mother 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Terra Bella 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Make a Million 3.50 1.2 2-1
12 12 My Bossy Lady 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Midnight Mary 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Red Zone 5.00 3.3 6-1
14 14 Ahamo 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Add to Cart 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Clearsugar 15.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Solar Burst 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Louise 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fuego K 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Always Practical 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 McKinzie Magic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ember 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rightandjust 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Wicked Trick 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Keys Included 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Path to Success 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Rocket Hotshot 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Spectrier 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Quantum Burst 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Aledean 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Black Ginger 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Fine Finish 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Carson Bay 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Fionn 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Tanti Auguri 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Dear Louise 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Pondering 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Swan House 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gotanothathingcomn 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Saint Cecile 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Time to Collect 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ambridge 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Royal Coach 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Grand Academic 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Love Pack 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 American Vision 4.00 6 11-1
1 1 Dan d’Oro 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Banned for Life 0 0-1
9 9 Linzer 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Think Big 4.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Banned for Life 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ship Cadet 15.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Gunner Bay 6.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 Call Me Q 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Mark of the Z 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Artemus Citylimits 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Swift as I Am 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ambivalent 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Boss’ Dialin In 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Felix 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 American Know How 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Father Mark 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Custom Cadillac 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Garfish 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 The Speedy One 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Lost My Bag 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Razz 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Colt’s Brim 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Party At Jays 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.