Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Right Karma |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Come Dream With Me |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fifty One Fifty |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
De la Calles |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Praiseworthy |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blazing Tyreek |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Head Lad |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flat Cap |
15.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Right Hand |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Fight Til Dawn |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
11 |
11 |
One Last Kiss |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Senor Marcelo (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Precisely |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Senor Marcelo (IRE) |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lamcaro |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sticky McShnickens |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lean Music Machine |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Overmars |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Justifiably So |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Evil Empire |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Joia Rara |
|
0 |
0-1 |
|
|
Our Fortune Cookie |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peggysue I Love U |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holy Coffee |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
One Smokin’ Rita |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spirit of Victory |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jurassic Chick |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Love Venezuela |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Our Fortune Cookie |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Joia Rara |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starship Legend |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Inallprobability |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spatula |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sabby Sunset |
20.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gua Sha |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Executive Success |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chacarera |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Kosher Capone |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ortus |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fregon |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rhum Saint Esprit |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kantknowitall |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tshiebwe |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Star of the Beast |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Bullet Blues |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Holding the Line (IRE) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Air Combat |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
River Dog |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Air Combat |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Avant Glory |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth Flyin Mike |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Unclecharliesgift |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Notah |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Youknownothing |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Justdeny |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Youknownothing |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sri Lanka |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
I’m a Sure Thing |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bourbon Thief |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Aspen Dawn |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kizzy |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Happy Holiday |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stormy Mitole |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
New Diamond |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cant Stop Dreaming |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bah Humbug |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Argumental |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Denver’s Alley |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Atalanta Alexandra |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Five Eyes Onmichel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ramsey Pond |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flip Flops |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sashay Away |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Designer Bag |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Carpe Diem (FR) |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lush Lips (GB) |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mom’s Martini |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cheese |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Origami (IRE) |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.