Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Greers Ferry | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Exton | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brinson | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Got a Guy | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Andy Mort | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Safety | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Remember the Fear | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandatory Mission | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Handsome Herb | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Kid Syd | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Velociraptor | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Bid | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zapping Strike | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paint Baller | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tango Mike Mike | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good Like Magic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seas of Normandy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Soulfire | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veracruzin | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand Proud | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corredor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Frost Alert | 3.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Star Nation | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euclid Avenue | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Baron | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mercy Warren | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pens Street | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Tappy Tone | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Sense | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legally Lucky | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Class Code | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ardis | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courtney Fay | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Guana Cay | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Princess | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Mercedes | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just Like Magic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Undecoded | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Catherine Blaze | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Butterfly Queen | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marina’s Gold | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right Trappe | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Baby Gundin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Makemebelieve | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Blush | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Creeps | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Adiva | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silardi | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Russian to Win | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Dog | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Principe Carlo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Worth Looking | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baseball Politics | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Verb | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Up | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin’ Hot | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tin Badge | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Burns | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Won Ninety | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King Peanut | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bettys Cash | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | One Ten Stadium | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Table Money | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blame J D | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miri a Coincidence | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atta Party | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dinner At Crumpies | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I’m an Oak | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellamys Roan | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Choctaw Zip | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blessed Vision | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stomping Hotrod | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | String Theory | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Safe Bet | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Diamond | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phenomenal Dream | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Westeros | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Texoma | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Non Fungible | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Affixed | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Will | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gentle Ben | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Seeking the Game | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reveille Valley | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rerun | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Kween’s King | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hush It Honey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Popperina | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brunch Punch | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Our Keepsake | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Ju Forget | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Banterra | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lite It Up Louie | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Music Mistress | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dance My Way | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Hill | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silvia | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Dreamer | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tiffany Twist | 15.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Woman | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Wildwood Queen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sthenic | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly Like the Wind | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runninthestreets | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sparkly | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petit Jean | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunnyandseventy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ngala | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sophie’s Star | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Principal Anita | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | On the Money Luv | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.