Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Final Edition (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nitti (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Over the Ocean | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodfella (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mysterious Husband | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Hero | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Strike | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Getemdusty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tigersun | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Im Gunna | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cangrejo | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River’s Benchmark | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boston Burglar | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moola Man | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bobby Anton | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Expectation | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donttestyourluck | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Flash Dancer | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oh Great (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Titos With a Twist | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Focus | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Desert Rocket | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fight Back | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canani | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toppers Wager | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danzing Wild Cat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Matters | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cajun Brother | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wound Up | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Tom | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Vibes Only | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No d’Oro | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Satanta | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Squalotoro | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazen Sun | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erebus | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rogue Son | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rexford | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caribbean King | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Cheese Olive | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Invincible | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rhythem On Stage | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yacowlef (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Talkin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Expect Love | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Currency | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ridegold | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Pia | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lava Lucy | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Darlin Tami | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sister Lilly | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clubhouse Cutie | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Expressive Love | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sexy Blue | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gem Mine | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bold Choice | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosie Forecast | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight Tryst | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jai Ho | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amelia Bleu | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sabres | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tianma | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auditory | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Leopardess (GB) | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth as Butter | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lil Richards Bello | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Grazy | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | J Dutton | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spiritual Advisor | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mio Bambino | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mining District | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nauvoo | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kerry Gold | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pass the Baton | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exultation | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sbagliato | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bizzee Channel | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shot of Courage | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great King (FR) | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sydney Street (GB) | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Heat | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bee Catcher | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man Friday | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | So I’m Told | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fly the Sky | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Eastbound | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aurelian Man | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.