Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Miles Finch |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Giant Luther |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
James J. Braddock |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Three Georges |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Got Soul |
3.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brahms Mendelssohn |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Horizon Wildcat |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fix It Quick |
12.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Master Jacques |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
True Mantra |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Walk the Cat |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
P Twentytwo |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Unusual Memories |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silvercross |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shake the Dust |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Captain Willis |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Your Sweet Baby |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Highland Echo |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jeffrey On the Run |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stay and Scam |
0.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Andiamo Ragazza |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moment’s Pleasure |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Satellite Heart |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dendera |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Quantum Innergy |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mayacama |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Miche Lada |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Naturally Blonde |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jazz Spot |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Be a Goldfish |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Lovin Feelin |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spicy Ride |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Clovisconnection |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big City Lights |
0.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smiling Beast |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Geezer |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Haywood |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pax a Punch |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Gypsy Cowboy |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Citizen Barrett |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Check’s On the Way |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jennys Tiz |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Day At the Track |
20.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dancing Dillon |
8.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Marc the Money Man |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
1 |
1 |
Colonel Slade |
4.50 |
11 |
21-1 |
8 |
8 |
Santa Barbarian |
4.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
5 |
5 |
Western Freedom |
6.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
12 |
12 |
Warren’s C J |
6.00 |
12.6 |
24-1 |
13 |
13 |
Petrified |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Cullen J |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Lord Dunmore |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glass of Jameson |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gemini Buzz |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Twilight Time |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hothead |
6.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dawkins |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Millbo Baggins |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
1 |
1 |
Benny’s Puzzle |
20.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shapoval |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lonesome Stew |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Devil Among Us |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bob’s Blue Moon |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Duty First |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Our Bucky Charm |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Windribbon |
5.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Disobey |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Man Bags |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
5 |
5 |
Travelin’ Show |
30.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shady Appeal |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lord Tripping |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fast Buck |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Old Pal |
1.60 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
On the Whim |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barely Funtional |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Aligato |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Takes Three |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jimmy Blue Jeans |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
None Above the Law |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Coalinga Road |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
We Can |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Keep Movin’ On |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (California Chrome Cal Cup Derby) – California Chrome Cal Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Shea Brennan |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m a Bad Boy |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
R Heisman |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whiskyginandbrandy |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Got’m Cot’m |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Style Cat |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drop Um |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Accidental Genius |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tequilaandtherapy |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
In the Air Tonight |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Less Is More |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hey Jessie |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Take Another Card |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Pavel Is Appealing |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Grateful My Love |
5.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chilly Philly |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
We the Hobby |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Musical Number |
15.00 |
10.4 |
20-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Soiree |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunset Grazen |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.