Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miles Finch 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Giant Luther 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 James J. Braddock 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Three Georges 30.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Got Soul 3.50 6.7 13-1
9 9 Brahms Mendelssohn 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Horizon Wildcat 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Fix It Quick 12.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Master Jacques 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 True Mantra 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Walk the Cat 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 P Twentytwo 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Unusual Memories 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Silvercross 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Shake the Dust 8.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Captain Willis 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Your Sweet Baby 12.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Highland Echo 20.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Jeffrey On the Run 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stay and Scam 0.40 1 2-1
3 3 Andiamo Ragazza 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Moment’s Pleasure 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Satellite Heart 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Dendera 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Quantum Innergy 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mayacama 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Miss Miche Lada 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Naturally Blonde 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Jazz Spot 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Be a Goldfish 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Our Lovin Feelin 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Spicy Ride 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Clovisconnection 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Big City Lights 0.40 2.5 5-1
1 1 Smiling Beast 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Geezer 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Haywood 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pax a Punch 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 The Gypsy Cowboy 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Citizen Barrett 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Check’s On the Way 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Jennys Tiz 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Day At the Track 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Dancing Dillon 8.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Marc the Money Man 15.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Colonel Slade 4.50 11 21-1
8 8 Santa Barbarian 4.00 11.3 21-1
5 5 Western Freedom 6.00 11.4 22-1
12 12 Warren’s C J 6.00 12.6 24-1
13 13 Petrified 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cullen J 1.40 1 2-1
9 9 Lord Dunmore 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Glass of Jameson 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Gemini Buzz 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Twilight Time 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Hothead 6.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Dawkins 12.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Millbo Baggins 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Benny’s Puzzle 20.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Shapoval 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lonesome Stew 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Devil Among Us 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Bob’s Blue Moon 10.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Duty First 15.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Our Bucky Charm 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Windribbon 5.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Disobey 30.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 My Man Bags 15.00 10 19-1
5 5 Travelin’ Show 30.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Shady Appeal 30.00 10.8 20-1
10 10 Lord Tripping 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fast Buck 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Old Pal 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 On the Whim 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Barely Funtional 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Aligato 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Takes Three 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Jimmy Blue Jeans 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 None Above the Law 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Coalinga Road 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 We Can 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Keep Movin’ On 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (California Chrome Cal Cup Derby) – California Chrome Cal Cup Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shea Brennan 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 I’m a Bad Boy 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 R Heisman 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Whiskyginandbrandy 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Got’m Cot’m 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Style Cat 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Drop Um 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Accidental Genius 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tequilaandtherapy 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 In the Air Tonight 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Less Is More 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Hey Jessie 4.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Take Another Card 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Pavel Is Appealing 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Grateful My Love 5.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Chilly Philly 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 We the Hobby 20.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Musical Number 15.00 10.4 20-1
6 6 Big Soiree 20.00 10.8 20-1
2 2 Sunset Grazen 15.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.