Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Proud Foot |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toned Up |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Autumn Glory |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Echo in Eternity |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Moonboots |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Romantic Dancer |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Vegas Weekend |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Everlys Girl |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Carbon |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Laughter |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ghostly Girl |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bad Connection |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kenny Be |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Super Swift |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
In the Chase |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fireballin |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Soontobeking |
2.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Sugar Daddy |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Persistent Danger |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jake Rocks |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quick Hammer |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thank You Jon |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
G Munning |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dads Good Runner |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Can’t Beat Me |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
She’s Always Rosie |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
1A |
8 |
Pam Pam |
1.20 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
She’s Cool |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saucy Six |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Moonlit Weekend |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scarlet’s Dream |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Carol T |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Stress Reliever |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Eastern Star |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gallant Greta |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Monetary Monarch |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s a Natural |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sky Runner |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calling an Audible |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Purpose |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Princess Becca |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
P Mutter Pickle |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chasing Daylight |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Splashy |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kaaterskill |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Focus Pocus |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Baroness Bourbon |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brooklyn Dantz |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Yo Daddy |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magical Ways |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seeking Unity |
10.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Reddington |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Treaty Obligation |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
General Banker |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Expected Value |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Victory Way |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Duke of Gloucester |
30.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Runnin’ Ray |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Union Fleet |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.