Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Im Singled Up | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foreign Tourist | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trouble With Sugar | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salomeinthehoop | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prize Debate | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Requestforproposal | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Dont Know Either | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awree | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | About to Set Sail | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jus Evelyn | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onehellofabirthday | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awree | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delightful Halo | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jus Makes Cents | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Prairie | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Corman | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Innova | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Got Game | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Contrabandist | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cabo Mischief | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Keep Looking | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Derek’s Law | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lulu’s Magic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tap Galore | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runtolive | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Radiant Rebel | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C C Senora | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Talkabout | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace and Mercy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Deal | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Royal Princess | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fully Volatile | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valley of Fire | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Beach | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle On Central | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Its Paladin Time | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Come On Pop | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Rizz | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not Behavin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm the Streets | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | War Tourist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Front and Silver | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Smoking | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Pearl | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia Antonia | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Belle | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Izzy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Overanalytical | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Richard | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Karlwithanarl | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tres Soles | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Agent Creed | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breaking Alone | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scat Free | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Risk Manager | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Write Off Jerry | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thick as Thieves | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Baltimore Heart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hard Four | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bankroll | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheatin Charlie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho Marvin | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Magic | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Woadie | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Punch | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Jack | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Charli Michael | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.