Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Gianluca Be Lucky |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Awesome Edition |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Curved |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lomax |
1.80 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moneylove |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lower Broadway |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Money Tour |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Rizzer |
6.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blue Casanova |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Southern Palace |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Awesomely Wild |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gullfaxi |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cerchi |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Puckered |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Field of Blossoms |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Stay Classy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s a Gamer |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shesadragonlady |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Invisible String |
1.80 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fast Market |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pop Art |
2.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sea Wake |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Whiting Field |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Giovannino |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Atomico |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Growth Mindset |
2.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moral Agency |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Preach |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Star of the Beast |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kuwait Towers |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mama Banned Me |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Rapscallion |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forwardly |
1.40 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nathaniel’s Hope |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hartsbeatlikthundr |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Team Captain |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grumley |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Candy Street |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Pure Beauty |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Geaux Amy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Into Royalty |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Madeline’s Promise |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pure Beauty |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
United Forever |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Raghba |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Madam Opus |
1.80 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Ny |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flo Go |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ready for a Fight |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dropkick Murphy |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gepard |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heals the Soul |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gabagool |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jet Wings |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Putman |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Undalay |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiz a Prince |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Science (IRE) |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oxymore |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Kerry |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sol Hope |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bandonarun |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Epona’s Hope |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiffany Gold |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Starlet |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bustin Bullet |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shoshanah |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
On the Payroll |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Trumpets |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Suncroft |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Caramel Chip |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Great Navigator |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Concrete Glory |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saint Tapit |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flying Liam |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pure Class |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
War Officer |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Corruption |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
McGinnis |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Muchomachomac |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Doctor’s Orders |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cousin Ed |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mellifluous |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Maestro |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ponant |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mucho de La Mancha |
50.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.