Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Bad Beats | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prime and Ready | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Authentic Grace | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cloudy Women | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Lil Lady | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pam and Tina (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shore Lodge | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Rover Lady (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Robin With a Why | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Glaze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Kid | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anisette | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Hallows | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zafferana | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clay’s Opal Indy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Oscar Joy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zombo Bombo | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt Supremacy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handsome Ticket | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Granitiansevensix | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Maximus | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naftis | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Why Behave | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodbine Way | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul of a Warrior | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respect the Crown | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Hekawi | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Hello | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chollima | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Kid | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rice Paddy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunglow (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canto Della Terra (IRE) | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sensational Dream | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abazaami (GB) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Headstrong Ways | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beauty Jenny | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atia | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Affair | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Still in It | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxwell St Blues | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Fashion | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flight to Quality (FR) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Star | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Above All Else | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Union Heiress | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ivory Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose Dawson | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unwritten Code | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Real Jewel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song of Shadows | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tam’s Little Angel | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tianma | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Lynn | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mylittlerunaway | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Authority | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fayette Fox | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Epione | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loretta Lynn | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halone | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shared Future | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy’s Star | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiznow Mama | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Cocktail | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Las Cienegas S.) – Las Cienegas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nadette (FR) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toupie | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Nails | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hamwood Flier (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Laulne (FR) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Lizzy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Anywho | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Needlepoint (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vitalera (CHI) | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cali Cat | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Winds of Freedom | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Binging | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nijinsky Halo | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskeyinateacup | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Power | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank Bullitt | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Panuco | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Triple Diamonds | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.