Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katies Factor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Court | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amy D | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Early Dawn | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Ace | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dolly’s Guitar | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raise the Alarm | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Absaroka | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Biloxi | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zong Tough | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Express | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamic Sun | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Power | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unfathomed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Won Bright Light | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Deal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | At First Light | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deal Breaking Dame | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acadiana | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fully Blessed | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Silk | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Chick | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Won Bright Light | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Sister | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Magic Castle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbowed | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Stage | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Shelleen | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pomeroy Haze | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Curioso (ARG) | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lover Boy | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Candy | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uptown Social | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yakety Yak | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Autumn Rob | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lacey’s Kat | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saucy Argument | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spry Charlie | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tucker the Grump | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Friend’s Do Care | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gloria’s Boy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischevious Robert | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joseph H | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Aller Vite | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maximus Freedom | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar Doctor | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Motor City | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Baybe | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tripple D Ruller | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loudermilk | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Carlos | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All About Croge | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Craken Jax | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | A Million Stars | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Titanium Deal | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pitch and Run | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Deal | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reddingandlee | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gobot | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Halo | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chad’s Flash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Pal Sweet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All in Good Time | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A G’s Gem | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knight’s Gold | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Astrology Wonowon | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rip Rules | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alines Valentine | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B D Primary Ours | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Way too Tough | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Reunion | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red On the Head | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Middleofthefairway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.