Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Clay Soldier |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Look Like It |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Demar’s Legacy |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yooou Know |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Minxy |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clay Soldier |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bubbly Champagne |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Classic Diva |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moor Strength |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Delightful Dixie |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Rancho Vista |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daddy’s Queen |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happy Sunday |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cicatriz |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Candy and Wine |
1.80 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Claudia |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dawn’s Mist |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Stewball |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Knock Knock Joke |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spurious |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Replevin |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Max N Fifo |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
New York New York |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Old Marsh |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lex’s Game |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Knox |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pirate Radio |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thingsrgettinharry |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sixteen Cigarettes |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flatter Me |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rowdy Jess |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Secret Lover |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Carrington |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cha Cha Chukka |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gimme Mo Baby |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jayana |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seekingbythestorm |
30.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miscreant |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mobay Princess |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tinta Roja |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Spirited Boss |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grade A |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Win After Win |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Starship Vengeance |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Brittany’s Way |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
I Stand Collected |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chosen Factor |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
I’m a Lucky Man |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
High Strike |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lace Up |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
David’s Songs |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Austonian |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imapeppa |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cacique Abarrio |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Severance |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Beastly Speed |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
W W Candy |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Improptude |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Belts ‘n Brooks |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Raging Fury |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Roar Ready |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Call the Cavalry |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yorkville |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
I’m Due |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dazzle A. P. |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rashid |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Maldini |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bolt to Run |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Imperatus |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
El Chispazo |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Keene Pike |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Senor Money |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Solo Me |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
War Warrior |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.