Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Adieu Aces 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Flower Cat 10.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Magawildtime 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Wild Bert 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Speightful One 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Truvy’s Bandit 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Shake Em Bella 0 0-1
1 1 Frannie’s Wish 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Shake Em Bella 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Norma Jean Bling 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Marielita 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Sheer Luck 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 The Coquette 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Clearly Gorgeous 4.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Solar Burst 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Yakety Yock 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Gibson 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Steve’s Trouble 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Box of Candy 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Jacque Couteau 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 About the Business 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Charles Bodie 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 C F Jimmy Ray 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Acesraisedthe Bar 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Ocean’s Ruler 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She Smiled At Me 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Nownowdancer 15.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Tarkington Girl 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Coal Dancer 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Gap Daddy 6.00 6 11-1
10 10 My Idea 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Costa Lady 10.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Beat the Double 8.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Charming Kat 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Glorious Gears 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mallory’s Ocean 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Takeover Queen 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ells 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Lucky Moon Dog 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Cabro Toro 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Hawaiian Argument 12.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 True Crimson 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Jimmie’s Halo 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Play Master 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Main Dude 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Chiefweave 8.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 Pink Higgins 15.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Putthehammerdown 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chief Kimosabi 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carbon Stryker 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dr. Snyder 4.50 1.9 4-1
9 9 Bet Again 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Hostile Afleet 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Cooler King 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Duke of Blue Ridge 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Raven’s Nest 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ojitos 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Gotta Deal 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Traelee 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flashing Angelbaby 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Arkansas Zong 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Need Some Money 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Maturity Date 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Beautiful Janet 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bold Exaggeration 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Honest Angus 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 The Rage of Art 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Jess’s Rainbow 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Oh My Mia 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Deal Pickle 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Scampering Ma’am 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sassy Spry 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Magical Deal 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Midnight Cigarette 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Acesanddiamonds 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Miss Gypsy 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Honest Deal 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Swing of Things 15.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Sassi Jolie 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.