Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Goodfella (IRE) |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Over the Ocean |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Hero |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Final Edition (IRE) |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nitti (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mysterious Husband |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Midnight Strike |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Indian Carlie |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Getemdusty |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tigersun |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moola Man |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
River’s Benchmark |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cangrejo |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boston Burglar |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Im Gunna |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Bobby Anton |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Expectation |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dr. Flash Dancer |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Titos With a Twist |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oh Great (IRE) |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Donttestyourluck |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Good Focus |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Victory Matters |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Canani |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Desert Rocket |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Danzing Wild Cat |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fight Back |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Toppers Wager |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Victory Matters |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Wound Up |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cajun Brother |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
No d’Oro |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Squalotoro |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Good Vibes Only |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Major Tom |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wegonahavagoodtime |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Satanta |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Erebus |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grazen Sun |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rogue Son |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Invincible |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rexford |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caribbean King |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Cheese Olive |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Neon Lights (IRE) |
20.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yacowlef (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tequila Talkin |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rhythem On Stage |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ridegold |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gold Currency |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Sister Lilly |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Expect Love |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mia Pia |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lava Lucy |
4.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Darlin Tami |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Clubhouse Cutie |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Expressive Love |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sexy Blue |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Gem Mine |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jai Ho |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moonlight Tryst |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bold Choice |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rosie Forecast |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sabres |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amelia Bleu |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Corporal Violette (IRE) |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Auditory |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smooth as Butter |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tianma |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Leopardess (GB) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mining District |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Speed Grazy |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nauvoo |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
J Dutton |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spiritual Advisor |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pass the Baton |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kerry Gold |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mio Bambino |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lil Richards Bello |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Exultation |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bizzee Channel |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Great King (FR) |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Silent Heat |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sydney Street (GB) |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Moody Jim (IRE) |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sbagliato |
2.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Fly the Sky |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Man Friday |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bee Catcher |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Aurelian Man |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
So I’m Told |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Eastbound |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Shot of Courage |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.