Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kitty of War | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yayi Nikolle | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Finish | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clare Court | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Improbable Friend | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Ev | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Master Freud | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G T Five Hundred | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heard On Thestreet | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J J’s Joker | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sin Nombre | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Trumpet | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isomarshall | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Vision | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strand Road | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man From Malta | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Phoenix | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nine N Four | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Prince | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dead Aim | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hagrid’s Flame | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Liberty Central | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Incantation | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brick Ambush | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Petrolo | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hagrid’s Flame | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Lister | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Az U Chase Me | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Cumberland Blues | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gimme Gimme | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Akinmusire | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brave Bear | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jerry’s Out | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arcadian | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Licorice | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapwrits Temper | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sobieski | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valtellina | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Nina Kay | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valtellina | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carmen’s Candy Jar | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief Lady | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Mischief | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Timia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howling Wind | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Idyll Gossip | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Straca | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Factor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Who’s Got the Tip | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notmysteppingstone | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Power Driver | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carol Said No | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Ada May | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | My Vanilla | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Infastuation | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Selectively Sweet | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mandy’s Miss | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dolomite | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Malu | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Gone and Forgotten | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Clover Street | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Bernt Again | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | The Shoe Lady | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fast and Frisky | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Racing Colors | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mosienko | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Kara Para | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Accidental Bid | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judge Rules | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stormy’s Dreaming | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Tone | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Landauer | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cattani | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Beach | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Albedo | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lao Way | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dr High | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Me Wise Magic | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Ego | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Allofasuddenlee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.